Pre-kickoff bracket forecast

Locked 2026-07-13T18:38-04:00. Re-serialized on-site snapshot; the pre-registration sha256 of the original artifact is in the ledger.

Locked 2026 knockout forecast

Semi-finals — model win probability:

• France 46.1% vs Spain 53.9% · likeliest 1–1 12.8% · 0–1 10.9% · 1–0 9.6%
• England 38.7% vs Argentina 61.3% · likeliest 1–1 12.4% · 0–1 12.2% · 1–2 9.2%

Title odds (model): Argentina 30.6% · Spain 30.3% · France 24.2% · England 14.9%.