Every squad at every World Cup since 2002, its quality frozen at kick-off, and how far it actually got versus what a pure ratings model expected. Live through the 2026 final.
Four of the six biggest under-performers in 25 years are reigning champions — France 2002, Germany 2018, Spain 2014 and Italy 2010, each dumped out earlier than a squad of their pedigree should.
2026 bracket · shocks · over/under · Australia spotlight · method