🇩🇪 Germany 1–1 Republic of Ireland 🇮🇪

2002 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €0M · value #12 · Elo #9

1–1draw

value €0M · value #20 · Elo #8

Model P(result)

26.8%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.90

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1908 vs 1867

Stage

Group

2002 World Cup