🇬🇷 Greece 2–1 Nigeria 🇳🇬

2010 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €87M · value #17 · Elo #21

2–1Greece win

value €98M · value #15 · Elo #23

Model P(result)

35.8%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.48

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1694 vs 1699

Stage

Group

2010 World Cup