🇦🇷 Argentina 1–0 Nigeria 🇳🇬

2010 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €347M · value #5 · Elo #7

1–0Argentina win

value €98M · value #15 · Elo #23

Model P(result)

66.1%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.60

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

208

1921 vs 1713

Stage

Group

2010 World Cup