🇦🇷 Argentina 1–0 Nigeria 🇳🇬
2010 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇦🇷 Argentina value €347M · value #5 · Elo #7
Lionel Messi €80M Sergio Agüero €36M Gonzalo Higuaín €32M 1–0 Argentina win
🇳🇬 Nigeria value €98M · value #15 · Elo #23
Yakubu €16M Obafemi Martins €10M Taye Taiwo €10M Goals
Argentina ▲ Nigeria ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Gabriel Heinze 6' 6 Heinze
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇦🇷 Argentina
Sergio Romero · GK 22 Romero Walter Samuel · CB 13 Samuel Jonás Gutiérrez · RB 17 Gutiérrez Martín Demichelis · CB 2 Demichelis Gabriel Heinze · LB 6 Heinze Lionel Messi · AM 10 Messi Javier Mascherano · DM 14 Mascherano Ángel Di María · LM 7 María Juan Sebastián Verón · RM 8 Verón Carlos Tevez · CF 11 Tevez Gonzalo Higuaín · CF 9 Higuaín 🇳🇬 Nigeria
Vincent Enyeama · GK 1 Enyeama Chidi Odiah · RB 17 Odiah Joseph Yobo · CB 2 Yobo Taye Taiwo · LB 3 Taiwo Danny Shittu · CB 6 Shittu Sani Kaita · CM 14 Kaita Lukman Haruna · CM 15 Haruna Victor Obinna · LF 18 Obinna Chinedu Obasi · RF 19 Obasi Dickson Etuhu · CM 20 Etuhu Yakubu · CF 8 Yakubu Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇦🇷 Argentina 66.1% draw 21.5% 12.4% Nigeria 🇳🇬
Model P(result)
66.1%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#372
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.60
−log₂ P(observed)
Argentina's run W 🇳🇬 1–0 Nigeria, Group W 🇰🇷 4–1 South Korea, Group W 🇬🇷 2–0 Greece, Group W 🇲🇽 3–1 Mexico, Round of 16 L 🇩🇪 0–4 Germany, Quarter-final Nigeria's run L 🇦🇷 0–1 Argentina, Group L 🇬🇷 1–2 Greece, Group D 🇰🇷 2–2 South Korea, Group
Head-to-head at the World Cup