🇯🇵 Japan 3–1 Denmark 🇩🇰

2010 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €73M · value #21 · Elo #27

3–1Japan win

value €85M · value #18 · Elo #15

Model P(result)

25.4%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.98

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1702 vs 1784

Stage

Group

2010 World Cup