🇵🇱 Poland 3–1 United States 🇺🇸

2002 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €0M · value #18 · Elo #24

3–1Poland win

value €0M · value #31 · Elo #17

Model P(result)

15.4%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.70

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

174

1679 vs 1853

Stage

Group

2002 World Cup