🇵🇹 Portugal 4–0 Poland 🇵🇱

2002 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €0M · value #19 · Elo #4

4–0Portugal win

value €0M · value #18 · Elo #24

Model P(result)

68.8%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.54

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

231

1934 vs 1703

Stage

Group

2002 World Cup