🇺🇸 United States 3–2 Portugal 🇵🇹

2002 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €0M · value #31 · Elo #17

3–2United States win

value €0M · value #19 · Elo #4

Model P(result)

15.9%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.65

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

168

1809 vs 1977

Stage

Group

2002 World Cup