🇳🇱 Netherlands 2–1 Cameroon 🇨🇲

2010 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €256M · value #9 · Elo #3

2–1Netherlands win

value €146M · value #12 · Elo #24

Model P(result)

86.0%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.22

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

425

2066 vs 1641

Stage

Group

2010 World Cup