🇵🇪 Peru 2–0 Australia 🇦🇺

2018 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €39M · value #30 · Elo #10

2–0Peru win

value €50M · value #27 · Elo #22

Model P(result)

53.6%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.90

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

116

1860 vs 1744

Stage

Group

2018 World Cup