🇵🇪 Peru 2–0 Australia 🇦🇺

2018 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables

🇵🇪 Peru
value €39M · value #30 · Elo #10
  • André Carrillo €6M
  • Raúl Ruidíaz €5M
  • Paolo Hurtado €4M
2–0Peru win
🇦🇺 Australia
value €50M · value #27 · Elo #22
  • Aaron Mooy €10M
  • Mathew Ryan €8M
  • Massimo Luongo €4M
Goals
Peru ▲Australia ▼0'15'30'45'60'75'90'André Carrillo 18'18CarrilloPaolo Guerrero 50'50Guerrero
🇵🇪 Peru
🇦🇺 Australia
Starting line-ups
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇵🇪 Peru 53.5%draw 25.1%21.4% Australia 🇦🇺
Model P(result)
53.6%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#285
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.90
−log₂ P(observed)
Elo gap
116
1860 vs 1744

Peru's run

  • L 🇩🇰 0–1 Denmark, Group
  • L 🇫🇷 0–1 France, Group
  • W 🇦🇺 2–0 Australia, Group

Australia's run

  • L 🇫🇷 1–2 France, Group
  • D 🇩🇰 1–1 Denmark, Group
  • L 🇵🇪 0–2 Peru, Group

Head-to-head at the World Cup

  • No prior World Cup meetings.