🇫🇷 France 2–1 Australia 🇦🇺

2018 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €1080M · value #1 · Elo #4

2–1France win

value €50M · value #27 · Elo #22

Model P(result)

70.2%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.51

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

243

1986 vs 1743

Stage

Group

2018 World Cup