🇫🇷 France 2–1 Australia 🇦🇺
2018 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇫🇷 France value €1080M · value #1 · Elo #4
Kylian Mbappé €120M Antoine Griezmann €100M Paul Pogba €90M 2–1 France win
🇦🇺 Australia value €50M · value #27 · Elo #22
Aaron Mooy €10M Mathew Ryan €8M Massimo Luongo €4M Goals
France ▲ Australia ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Antoine Griezmann 58' (pen) 58 Griezmann Aziz Behich 81' (o.g.) 81 Behich Mile Jedinak 62' (pen) 62 Jedinak
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇫🇷 France
Hugo Lloris · GK 1 Lloris Benjamin Pavard · RB 2 Pavard Lucas Hernandez · LB 21 Hernandez Raphaël Varane · CB 4 Varane Samuel Umtiti · CB 5 Umtiti Ousmane Dembélé · RF 11 Dembélé Corentin Tolisso · CM 12 Tolisso N'Golo Kanté · CM 13 Kanté Paul Pogba · CM 6 Pogba Antoine Griezmann · LF 7 Griezmann Kylian Mbappé · CF 10 Mbappé 🇦🇺 Australia
Mathew Ryan · GK 1 Ryan Aziz Behich · LB 16 Behich Josh Risdon · RB 19 Risdon Trent Sainsbury · CB 20 Sainsbury Mark Milligan · CB 5 Milligan Aaron Mooy · CM 13 Mooy Mile Jedinak · CM 15 Jedinak Tom Rogic · AM 23 Rogic Robbie Kruse · LW 10 Kruse Andrew Nabbout · CF 11 Nabbout Mathew Leckie · RW 7 Leckie Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇫🇷 France 70.3% draw 19.9% 9.8% Australia 🇦🇺
Model P(result)
70.2%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#397
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.51
−log₂ P(observed)
France's run W 🇦🇺 2–1 Australia, Group W 🇵🇪 1–0 Peru, Group D 🇩🇰 0–0 Denmark, Group W 🇦🇷 4–3 Argentina, Round of 16 W 🇺🇾 2–0 Uruguay, Quarter-final W 🇧🇪 1–0 Belgium, Semi-final W 🇭🇷 4–2 Croatia, Final Australia's run L 🇫🇷 1–2 France, Group D 🇩🇰 1–1 Denmark, Group L 🇵🇪 0–2 Peru, Group
Head-to-head at the World Cup