🇫🇷 France 1–0 Peru 🇵🇪

2018 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €1080M · value #1 · Elo #4

1–0France win

value €39M · value #30 · Elo #10

Model P(result)

53.8%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.89

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

118

1998 vs 1880

Stage

Group

2018 World Cup