🇧🇪 Belgium 1–0 Canada 🇨🇦

2022 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €563M · value #9 · Elo #5

1–0Belgium win

value €187M · value #20 · Elo #23

Model P(result)

68.8%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.54

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

231

2006 vs 1775

Stage

Group

2022 World Cup