🇭🇷 Croatia 4–1 Canada 🇨🇦

2022 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €377M · value #11 · Elo #11

4–1Croatia win

value €187M · value #20 · Elo #23

Model P(result)

58.5%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.77

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

151

1913 vs 1762

Stage

Group

2022 World Cup