🇭🇷 Croatia 4–1 Canada 🇨🇦
2022 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇭🇷 Croatia value €377M · value #11 · Elo #11
Joško Gvardiol €60M Mateo Kovačić €40M Marcelo Brozović €35M 4–1 Croatia win
🇨🇦 Canada value €187M · value #20 · Elo #23
Alphonso Davies €70M Jonathan David €45M Tajon Buchanan €12M Goals
Croatia ▲ Canada ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' 105' 120' Andrej Kramarić 36' 36 Kramarić Marko Livaja 44' 44 Livaja Andrej Kramarić 70' 70 Kramarić Lovro Majer 90+4' 94 Majer Alphonso Davies 2' 2 Davies
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇭🇷 Croatia
Dominik Livaković · GK 1 Livaković Borna Sosa · LB 19 Sosa Joško Gvardiol · CB 20 Gvardiol Josip Juranović · RB 22 Juranović Dejan Lovren · CB 6 Lovren Luka Modrić · CM 10 Modrić Marcelo Brozović · DM 11 Brozović Marko Livaja · RF 14 Livaja Ivan Perišić · LF 4 Perišić Mateo Kovačić · CM 8 Kovačić Andrej Kramarić · CF 9 Kramarić 🇨🇦 Canada
Milan Borjan · GK 18 Borjan Alistair Johnston · CB 2 Johnston Kamal Miller · CB 4 Miller Steven Vitória · CB 5 Vitória Tajon Buchanan · RF 11 Buchanan Atiba Hutchinson · CM 13 Hutchinson Alphonso Davies · LM 19 Davies Jonathan David · LF 20 David Richie Laryea · RM 22 Laryea Stephen Eustáquio · CM 7 Eustáquio Cyle Larin · CF 17 Larin Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇭🇷 Croatia 58.5% draw 23.9% 17.6% Canada 🇨🇦
Model P(result)
58.5%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#318
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.77
−log₂ P(observed)
Croatia's run D 🇲🇦 0–0 Morocco, Group W 🇨🇦 4–1 Canada, Group D 🇧🇪 0–0 Belgium, Group D 🇯🇵 1–1 Japan, Round of 16 D 🇧🇷 1–1 Brazil, Quarter-final L 🇦🇷 0–3 Argentina, Semi-final W 🇲🇦 2–1 Morocco, Third place Canada's run L 🇧🇪 0–1 Belgium, Group L 🇭🇷 1–4 Croatia, Group L 🇲🇦 1–2 Morocco, Group
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.