🇧🇪 Belgium 0–0 Croatia 🇭🇷
2022 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇧🇪 Belgium value €563M · value #9 · Elo #5
Kevin De Bruyne €80M Thibaut Courtois €60M Romelu Lukaku €55M 0–0 draw
🇭🇷 Croatia value €377M · value #11 · Elo #11
Joško Gvardiol €60M Mateo Kovačić €40M Marcelo Brozović €35M Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇧🇪 Belgium
Thibaut Courtois · GK 1 Courtois Thomas Meunier · RB 15 Meunier Toby Alderweireld · CB 2 Alderweireld Timothy Castagne · LB 21 Castagne Jan Vertonghen · CB 5 Vertonghen Dries Mertens · AM 14 Mertens Leander Dendoncker · CM 19 Dendoncker Axel Witsel · CM 6 Witsel Yannick Carrasco · LW 11 Carrasco Leandro Trossard · CF 17 Trossard Kevin De Bruyne · RW 7 Bruyne 🇭🇷 Croatia
Dominik Livaković · GK 1 Livaković Borna Sosa · LB 19 Sosa Joško Gvardiol · CB 20 Gvardiol Josip Juranović · RB 22 Juranović Dejan Lovren · CB 6 Lovren Luka Modrić · CM 10 Modrić Marcelo Brozović · DM 11 Brozović Ivan Perišić · LF 4 Perišić Mateo Kovačić · CM 8 Kovačić Andrej Kramarić · RF 9 Kramarić Marko Livaja · CF 14 Livaja Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇧🇪 Belgium 36.9% draw 27.0% 36.1% Croatia 🇭🇷
Model P(result)
27.0%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#167
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
1.89
−log₂ P(observed)
Belgium's run W 🇨🇦 1–0 Canada, Group L 🇲🇦 0–2 Morocco, Group D 🇭🇷 0–0 Croatia, Group Croatia's run D 🇲🇦 0–0 Morocco, Group W 🇨🇦 4–1 Canada, Group D 🇧🇪 0–0 Belgium, Group D 🇯🇵 1–1 Japan, Round of 16 D 🇧🇷 1–1 Brazil, Quarter-final L 🇦🇷 0–3 Argentina, Semi-final W 🇲🇦 2–1 Morocco, Third place
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.