🇸🇳 Senegal 1–0 France 🇫🇷

2002 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €0M · value #23 · Elo #29

1–0Senegal win

value €0M · value #11 · Elo #1

Model P(result)

2.8%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

5.18

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

395

1698 vs 2093

Stage

Group

2002 World Cup