🇹🇷 Turkey 1–0 Senegal 🇸🇳

2002 World Cup · Quarter-final. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €0M · value #30 · Elo #21

1–0Turkey win

value €0M · value #23 · Elo #29

Model P(result)

38.7%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.37

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1823 vs 1808

Stage

Quarter-final

2002 World Cup