🇫🇷 France 3–1 Senegal 🇸🇳 2026 · live
2026 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇫🇷 France value €1523M · value #1 · Elo #3
Kylian Mbappé €180M Michael Olise €150M Désiré Doué €120M 3–1 France win
🇸🇳 Senegal value €478M · value #12 · Elo #19
Iliman Ndiaye €55M Ismaïla Sarr €40M Pape Gueye €40M
Goals
France ▲ Senegal ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' 105' 120' Kylian Mbappé 66' 66 Mbappé Bradley Barcola 82' 82 Barcola Kylian Mbappé 90+6' 96 Mbappé Ibrahim Mbaye 90+5' 95 Mbaye
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇫🇷 France
Mike Maignan · GK 16 Maignan William Saliba · CB 17 Saliba Théo Hernandez · LB 19 Hernandez Dayot Upamecano · CB 4 Upamecano Jules Koundé · RB 5 Koundé Adrien Rabiot · CM 14 Rabiot Ousmane Dembélé · AM 7 Dembélé Aurélien Tchouaméni · CM 8 Tchouaméni Kylian Mbappé · CF 10 Mbappé Michael Olise · RW 11 Olise Désiré Doué · LW 20 Doué 🇸🇳 Senegal
Édouard Mendy · GK 16 Mendy Krépin Diatta · RB 15 Diatta Moussa Niakhaté · CB 19 Niakhaté El Hadji Malick Diouf · LB 25 Diouf Kalidou Koulibaly · CB 3 Koulibaly Sadio Mané · LF 10 Mané Ismaïla Sarr · RF 18 Sarr Pape Gueye · CM 26 Gueye Idrissa Gueye · CM 5 Gueye Lamine Camara · CM 8 Camara Nicolas Jackson · CF 11 Jackson
Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇫🇷 France 65.5% draw 21.7% 12.8% Senegal 🇸🇳
Model P(result)
65.4%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#364
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.61
−log₂ P(observed)
France's run W 🇸🇳 3–1 Senegal, Group W 🇮🇶 3–0 Iraq, Group W 🇳🇴 4–1 Norway, Group W 🇸🇪 3–0 Sweden, Round of 32 W 🇵🇾 1–0 Paraguay, Round of 16 W 🇲🇦 2–0 Morocco, Quarter-final L 🇪🇸 0–2 Spain, Semi-final L 🏴 4–6 England, Third place
Senegal's run L 🇫🇷 1–3 France, Group L 🇳🇴 2–3 Norway, Group W 🇮🇶 5–0 Iraq, Group L 🇧🇪 2–3 Belgium, Round of 32
Head-to-head at the World Cup