🇫🇷 France 3–1 Senegal 🇸🇳 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €1523M · value #1 · Elo #3

3–1France win

value €478M · value #12 · Elo #19

Model P(result)

65.4%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.61

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

203

2063 vs 1860

Stage

Group

2026 World Cup