🇧🇷 Brazil 4–0 China PR 🇨🇳

2002 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €0M · value #3 · Elo #10

4–0Brazil win

value €0M · value #5 · Elo #28

Model P(result)

68.4%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.55

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

227

1888 vs 1661

Stage

Group

2002 World Cup