🇧🇷 Brazil 2–1 England 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

2002 World Cup · Quarter-final. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

🇧🇷 Brazil
value €0M · value #3 · Elo #10
2–1Brazil win
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England
value €0M · value #10 · Elo #6
Model P(result)
34.6%
model probability of the observed score
Upset index
1.53
−log₂ P(observed)
Elo gap
13
1980 vs 1993
Stage
Quarter-final
2002 World Cup

Squads: Brazil 2002 · England 2002