🇧🇷 Brazil 1–0 Turkey 🇹🇷

2002 World Cup · Semi-final. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €0M · value #3 · Elo #10

1–0Brazil win

value €0M · value #30 · Elo #21

Model P(result)

59.6%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.75

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

159

2011 vs 1852

Stage

Semi-final

2002 World Cup