🇧🇷 Brazil 5–2 Costa Rica 🇨🇷

2002 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €0M · value #3 · Elo #10

5–2Brazil win

value €0M · value #6 · Elo #22

Model P(result)

54.7%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.87

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

124

1912 vs 1788

Stage

Group

2002 World Cup