🇨🇷 Costa Rica 1–1 Turkey 🇹🇷

2002 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €0M · value #6 · Elo #22

1–1draw

value €0M · value #30 · Elo #21

Model P(result)

26.5%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.92

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1793 vs 1736

Stage

Group

2002 World Cup