🇯🇵 Japan 1–0 Russia 🇷🇺

2002 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €0M · value #14 · Elo #13

1–0Japan win

value €0M · value #21 · Elo #19

Model P(result)

38.7%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.37

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1839 vs 1824

Stage

Group

2002 World Cup