🇯🇵 Japan 2–0 Tunisia 🇹🇳

2002 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €0M · value #14 · Elo #13

2–0Japan win

value €0M · value #29 · Elo #32

Model P(result)

70.5%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.51

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

245

1859 vs 1614

Stage

Group

2002 World Cup