🇯🇵 Japan 2–2 Belgium 🇧🇪

2002 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €0M · value #14 · Elo #13

2–2draw

value €0M · value #2 · Elo #14

Model P(result)

27.0%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.89

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1848 vs 1837

Stage

Group

2002 World Cup