🇧🇪 Belgium 3–2 Russia 🇷🇺

2002 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €0M · value #2 · Elo #14

3–2Belgium win

value €0M · value #21 · Elo #19

Model P(result)

39.8%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.33

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1827 vs 1804

Stage

Group

2002 World Cup