🇦🇷 Argentina 2–1 Ivory Coast 🇨🇮

2006 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €228M · value #7 · Elo #8

2–1Argentina win

value €100M · value #12 · Elo #23

Model P(result)

59.2%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.76

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

156

1922 vs 1766

Stage

Group

2006 World Cup