🇳🇱 Netherlands 2–1 Ivory Coast 🇨🇮

2006 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €207M · value #8 · Elo #2

2–1Netherlands win

value €100M · value #12 · Elo #23

Model P(result)

72.1%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.47

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

260

2009 vs 1749

Stage

Group

2006 World Cup