🇦🇷 Argentina 2–1 Mexico 🇲🇽
2006 World Cup · Round of 16. tournament · tables
🇦🇷 Argentina value €228M · value #7 · Elo #8
Esteban Cambiasso €19M Pablo Aimar €18M Juan Román Riquelme €18M 2–1 Argentina win
🇲🇽 Mexico value €45M · value #20 · Elo #13
Rafael Márquez €16M Gerardo Torrado €2M Jared Borgetti €2M Goals
Argentina ▲ Mexico ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' 105' 120' Hernán Crespo 10' 10 Crespo Maxi Rodríguez 98' 98 Rodríguez Rafael Márquez 6' 6 Márquez
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇦🇷 Argentina
Roberto Abbondanzieri · GK 1 Abbondanzieri Lionel Scaloni · RB 13 Scaloni Roberto Ayala · CB 2 Ayala Juan Pablo Sorín · LB 3 Sorín Gabriel Heinze · CB 6 Heinze Juan Román Riquelme · AM 10 Riquelme Maxi Rodríguez · LM 18 Rodríguez Esteban Cambiasso · RM 5 Cambiasso Javier Mascherano · DM 8 Mascherano Javier Saviola · CF 7 Saviola Hernán Crespo · CF 9 Crespo 🇲🇽 Mexico
Oswaldo Sánchez · GK 1 Sánchez Carlos Salcido · CB 3 Salcido Rafael Márquez · CB 4 Márquez Ricardo Osorio · CB 5 Osorio Ramón Morales · CM 11 Morales José Antonio Castro · CM 15 Castro Mario Méndez · RM 16 Méndez Andrés Guardado · LM 18 Guardado Pável Pardo · CM 8 Pardo Francisco Fonseca · CF 17 Fonseca Jared Borgetti · CF 9 Borgetti Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇦🇷 Argentina 57.2% draw 24.2% 18.6% Mexico 🇲🇽
Model P(result)
57.1%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#310
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.81
−log₂ P(observed)
Argentina's run W 🇨🇮 2–1 Ivory Coast, Group W 6–0 Serbia and Montenegro, Group D 🇳🇱 0–0 Netherlands, Group W 🇲🇽 2–1 Mexico, Round of 16 D 🇩🇪 1–1 Germany, Quarter-final Mexico's run W 🇮🇷 3–1 Iran, Group D 🇦🇴 0–0 Angola, Group L 🇵🇹 1–2 Portugal, Group L 🇦🇷 1–2 Argentina, Round of 16
Head-to-head at the World Cup