🇦🇴 Angola 1–1 Iran 🇮🇷

2006 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €14M · value #30 · Elo #30

1–1draw

value €26M · value #24 · Elo #12

Model P(result)

22.4%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.16

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

188

1579 vs 1767

Stage

Group

2006 World Cup