🇵🇹 Portugal 2–0 Iran 🇮🇷

2006 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €234M · value #6 · Elo #9

2–0Portugal win

value €26M · value #24 · Elo #12

Model P(result)

55.0%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.86

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

126

1922 vs 1796

Stage

Group

2006 World Cup