🇲🇽 Mexico 3–1 Iran 🇮🇷

2006 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €45M · value #20 · Elo #13

3–1Mexico win

value €26M · value #24 · Elo #12

Model P(result)

36.1%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.47

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1838 vs 1841

Stage

Group

2006 World Cup