🇵🇹 Portugal 1–0 Angola 🇦🇴

2006 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €234M · value #6 · Elo #9

1–0Portugal win

value €14M · value #30 · Elo #30

Model P(result)

80.8%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.31

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

351

1915 vs 1564

Stage

Group

2006 World Cup