🇸🇮 Slovenia 1–0 Algeria 🇩🇿

2010 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €44M · value #28 · Elo #26

1–0Slovenia win

value €49M · value #26 · Elo #30

Model P(result)

57.8%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.79

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

146

1685 vs 1539

Stage

Group

2010 World Cup