🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England 1–0 Slovenia 🇸🇮

2010 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €448M · value #2 · Elo #4

1–0England win

value €44M · value #28 · Elo #26

Model P(result)

70.7%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.50

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

247

1958 vs 1711

Stage

Group

2010 World Cup