🇸🇮 Slovenia 2–2 United States 🇺🇸

2010 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €44M · value #28 · Elo #26

2–2draw

value €58M · value #25 · Elo #14

Model P(result)

25.6%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.97

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1703 vs 1802

Stage

Group

2010 World Cup