🇺🇸 United States 1–0 Algeria 🇩🇿

2010 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €58M · value #25 · Elo #14

1–0United States win

value €49M · value #26 · Elo #30

Model P(result)

70.7%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.50

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

247

1794 vs 1547

Stage

Group

2010 World Cup