🇨🇷 Costa Rica 1–1 Greece 🇬🇷

2014 World Cup · Round of 16. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €30M · value #29 · Elo #26

1–1draw

value €80M · value #24 · Elo #18

Model P(result)

27.0%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.89

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1826 vs 1812

Stage

Round of 16

2014 World Cup