🇨🇷 Costa Rica 1–0 Italy 🇮🇹
2014 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇨🇷 Costa Rica value €30M · value #29 · Elo #26
Bryan Ruiz €8M Joel Campbell €5M Keylor Navas €4M 1–0 Costa Rica win
🇮🇹 Italy value €323M · value #8 · Elo #12
Mario Balotelli €30M Claudio Marchisio €28M Giorgio Chiellini €24M Goals
Costa Rica ▲ Italy ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Bryan Ruiz 44' 44 Ruiz
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇨🇷 Costa Rica
Keylor Navas · GK 1 Navas Júnior Díaz · LB 15 Díaz Cristian Gamboa · RB 16 Gamboa Giancarlo González · SW 3 González Michael Umaña · CB 4 Umaña Óscar Duarte · CB 6 Duarte Yeltsin Tejeda · CM 17 Tejeda Celso Borges · CM 5 Borges Bryan Ruiz · RW 10 Ruiz Christian Bolaños · LW 7 Bolaños Joel Campbell · CF 9 Campbell 🇮🇹 Italy
Gianluigi Buffon · GK 1 Buffon Andrea Barzagli · CB 15 Barzagli Giorgio Chiellini · CB 3 Chiellini Matteo Darmian · RB 4 Darmian Ignazio Abate · LB 7 Abate Daniele De Rossi · DM 16 Rossi Andrea Pirlo · CM 21 Pirlo Thiago Motta · CM 5 Motta Antonio Candreva · RW 6 Candreva Claudio Marchisio · LW 8 Marchisio Mario Balotelli · CF 9 Balotelli Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇨🇷 Costa Rica 18.6% draw 24.2% 57.2% Italy 🇮🇹
Model P(result)
18.6%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#50
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
2.42
−log₂ P(observed)
Costa Rica's run W 🇺🇾 3–1 Uruguay, Group W 🇮🇹 1–0 Italy, Group D 🏴 0–0 England, Group D 🇬🇷 1–1 Greece, Round of 16 D 🇳🇱 0–0 Netherlands, Quarter-final Italy's run W 🏴 2–1 England, Group L 🇨🇷 0–1 Costa Rica, Group L 🇺🇾 0–1 Uruguay, Group
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.