🇨🇷 Costa Rica 0–0 England 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

2014 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €30M · value #29 · Elo #26

0–0draw

value €334M · value #7 · Elo #7

Model P(result)

26.8%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.90

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1822 vs 1863

Stage

Group

2014 World Cup