🇨🇷 Costa Rica 3–1 Uruguay 🇺🇾

2014 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €30M · value #29 · Elo #26

3–1Costa Rica win

value €218M · value #10 · Elo #10

Model P(result)

12.5%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

3.00

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

207

1711 vs 1918

Stage

Group

2014 World Cup