🇶🇦 Qatar 0–2 Ecuador 🇪🇨

2022 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables

🇶🇦 Qatar
value €15M · value #32 · Elo #29
  • Akram Afif €4M
  • Almoez Ali €2M
  • Hassan Al-Haydos €1M
0–2Ecuador win
🇪🇨 Ecuador
value €146M · value #26 · Elo #15
  • Moisés Caicedo €38M
  • Piero Hincapié €22M
  • Pervis Estupiñán €20M
Goals
Qatar ▲Ecuador ▼0'15'30'45'60'75'90'Enner Valencia 16' (pen)16ValenciaEnner Valencia 31' (pen)31Valencia
🇶🇦 Qatar
🇪🇨 Ecuador
Starting line-ups
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇶🇦 Qatar 17.5%draw 23.8%58.7% Ecuador 🇪🇨
Model P(result)
58.7%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#320
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.77
−log₂ P(observed)
Elo gap
152
1680 vs 1832

Qatar's run

  • L 🇪🇨 0–2 Ecuador, Group
  • L 🇸🇳 1–3 Senegal, Group
  • L 🇳🇱 0–2 Netherlands, Group

Ecuador's run

  • W 🇶🇦 2–0 Qatar, Group
  • D 🇳🇱 1–1 Netherlands, Group
  • L 🇸🇳 1–2 Senegal, Group

Head-to-head at the World Cup

  • No prior World Cup meetings.