🇸🇳 Senegal 2–1 Ecuador 🇪🇨

2022 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €230M · value #18 · Elo #28

2–1Senegal win

value €146M · value #26 · Elo #15

Model P(result)

17.1%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.55

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

156

1728 vs 1884

Stage

Group

2022 World Cup