🇪🇨 Ecuador 1–1 Netherlands 🇳🇱
2022 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇪🇨 Ecuador value €146M · value #26 · Elo #15
Moisés Caicedo €38M Piero Hincapié €22M Pervis Estupiñán €20M 1–1 draw
🇳🇱 Netherlands value €587M · value #8 · Elo #4
Matthijs de Ligt €70M Virgil van Dijk €50M Frenkie de Jong €50M Goals
Ecuador ▲ Netherlands ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Enner Valencia 49' 49 Valencia Cody Gakpo 6' 6 Gakpo
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇪🇨 Ecuador
Hernán Galíndez · GK 1 Galíndez Félix Torres · CB 2 Torres Jackson Porozo · CB 25 Porozo Piero Hincapié · CB 3 Hincapié Enner Valencia · AM 13 Valencia Ángelo Preciado · RM 17 Preciado Gonzalo Plata · AM 19 Plata Jhegson Méndez · CM 20 Méndez Moisés Caicedo · CM 23 Caicedo Pervis Estupiñán · LM 7 Estupiñán Michael Estrada · CF 11 Estrada 🇳🇱 Netherlands
Andries Noppert · GK 23 Noppert Daley Blind · LWB 17 Blind Jurriën Timber · CB 2 Timber Denzel Dumfries · RWB 22 Dumfries Virgil van Dijk · CB 4 Dijk Nathan Aké · CB 5 Aké Davy Klaassen · AM 14 Klaassen Teun Koopmeiners · CM 20 Koopmeiners Frenkie de Jong · CM 21 Jong Steven Bergwijn · CF 7 Bergwijn Cody Gakpo · CF 8 Gakpo Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇪🇨 Ecuador 14.8% draw 22.7% 62.5% Netherlands 🇳🇱
Model P(result)
22.7%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#84
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
2.14
−log₂ P(observed)
Ecuador's run W 🇶🇦 2–0 Qatar, Group D 🇳🇱 1–1 Netherlands, Group L 🇸🇳 1–2 Senegal, Group Netherlands's run W 🇸🇳 2–0 Senegal, Group D 🇪🇨 1–1 Ecuador, Group W 🇶🇦 2–0 Qatar, Group W 🇺🇸 3–1 United States, Round of 16 D 🇦🇷 2–2 Argentina, Quarter-final
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.