🇳🇱 Netherlands 2–0 Senegal 🇸🇳

2022 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €587M · value #8 · Elo #4

2–0Netherlands win

value €230M · value #18 · Elo #28

Model P(result)

81.2%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.30

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

356

2040 vs 1684

Stage

Group

2022 World Cup