🇦🇷 Argentina 2–2 Netherlands 🇳🇱

2022 World Cup · Quarter-final. tournament · tables

🇦🇷 Argentina
value €645M · value #7 · Elo #2
  • Lautaro Martínez €75M
  • Cristian Romero €55M
  • Lionel Messi €50M
2–2draw
🇳🇱 Netherlands
value €587M · value #8 · Elo #4
  • Matthijs de Ligt €70M
  • Virgil van Dijk €50M
  • Frenkie de Jong €50M
Goals
Argentina ▲Netherlands ▼0'15'30'45'60'75'90'105'120'Nahuel Molina 35'35MolinaLionel Messi 73' (pen)73MessiWout Weghorst 83'83WeghorstWout Weghorst 90+11'101Weghorst
🇦🇷 Argentina
🇳🇱 Netherlands
Starting line-ups
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇦🇷 Argentina 45.0%draw 26.5%28.5% Netherlands 🇳🇱
Model P(result)
26.5%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#137
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
1.92
−log₂ P(observed)
Elo gap
58
2126 vs 2068

Argentina's run

  • L 🇸🇦 1–2 Saudi Arabia, Group
  • W 🇲🇽 2–0 Mexico, Group
  • W 🇵🇱 2–0 Poland, Group
  • W 🇦🇺 2–1 Australia, Round of 16
  • D 🇳🇱 2–2 Netherlands, Quarter-final
  • W 🇭🇷 3–0 Croatia, Semi-final
  • D 🇫🇷 3–3 France, Final

Netherlands's run

  • W 🇸🇳 2–0 Senegal, Group
  • D 🇪🇨 1–1 Ecuador, Group
  • W 🇶🇦 2–0 Qatar, Group
  • W 🇺🇸 3–1 United States, Round of 16
  • D 🇦🇷 2–2 Argentina, Quarter-final

Head-to-head at the World Cup