🇧🇷 Brazil 2–0 Serbia 🇷🇸

2022 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €1142M · value #2 · Elo #1

2–0Brazil win

value €360M · value #12 · Elo #14

Model P(result)

73.3%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.45

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

271

2169 vs 1898

Stage

Group

2022 World Cup