🇧🇷 Brazil 2–0 Serbia 🇷🇸

2018 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €981M · value #3 · Elo #1

2–0Brazil win

value €280M · value #12 · Elo #19

Model P(result)

79.7%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.33

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

338

2130 vs 1792

Stage

Group

2018 World Cup