🇧🇷 Brazil 2–0 Serbia 🇷🇸
2018 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇧🇷 Brazil value €981M · value #3 · Elo #1
Neymar €180M Philippe Coutinho €100M Roberto Firmino €80M 2–0 Brazil win
🇷🇸 Serbia value €280M · value #12 · Elo #19
Sergej Milinković-Savić €90M Nemanja Matić €40M Andrija Živković €18M Goals
Brazil ▲ Serbia ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Paulinho 36' 36 Paulinho Thiago Silva 68' 68 Silva
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇧🇷 Brazil
Alisson · GK 1 Alisson Marcelo · LB 12 Marcelo Thiago Silva · CB 2 Silva Fagner · RB 22 Fagner Miranda · CB 3 Miranda Philippe Coutinho · AM 11 Coutinho Paulinho · CM 15 Paulinho Casemiro · CM 5 Casemiro Neymar · LW 10 Neymar Willian · RW 19 Willian Gabriel Jesus · CF 9 Jesus 🇷🇸 Serbia
Vladimir Stojković · GK 1 Stojković Aleksandar Kolarov · LB 11 Kolarov Miloš Veljković · CB 13 Veljković Nikola Milenković · CB 15 Milenković Antonio Rukavina · RB 2 Rukavina Sergej Milinković-Savić · CM 20 Milinković-Savić Nemanja Matić · CM 21 Matić Adem Ljajić · AM 22 Ljajić Dušan Tadić · RW 10 Tadić Filip Kostić · LW 17 Kostić Aleksandar Mitrović · CF 9 Mitrović Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇧🇷 Brazil 79.8% draw 15.5% 4.7% Serbia 🇷🇸
Model P(result)
79.7%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#452
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.33
−log₂ P(observed)
Brazil's run D 🇨🇭 1–1 Switzerland, Group W 🇨🇷 2–0 Costa Rica, Group W 🇷🇸 2–0 Serbia, Group W 🇲🇽 2–0 Mexico, Round of 16 L 🇧🇪 1–2 Belgium, Quarter-final Serbia's run W 🇨🇷 1–0 Costa Rica, Group L 🇨🇭 1–2 Switzerland, Group L 🇧🇷 0–2 Brazil, Group
Head-to-head at the World Cup